Reliability analysis of the induced damage for single-hole rock blasting     

Mahdi Shadab Far  Yuan Wang  Yousif A. H. Dallo 《Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards》2019,13(1):82-98

Rock explosion has always been a complex problem because neither rock characteristics nor explosion waves could be accurately estimated. As such, this imposes a high uncertainty on deterministic methodologies available for damage prediction. In this paper, by defining two damage zones around the blast hole, including crushed and cracked zones, a first-order reliability analysis (FORM) was adopted to address this issue. For this purpose, FORM was used in a double-loop algorithm, where the inner loop was responsible for converging the FORM, and the outer loop was assigned to feed the inner loop with new cases. Using such nested-loop algorithm, the probability of exceedance was calculated for any desired damage zone radius. The maximum effect of the involved parameters on the failure probability induced around the blast hole was additionally studied using a parametric reliability analysis. The results showed that the radii for crushed and cracked zones are limited to 0.5 and 4.2?m, respectively, so that the probability of going beyond these limits is less than 1%. Moreover, the analyses of decoupled explosions showed that increasing the gap between the explosion charge and wall of the borehole could severely reduce the failure probability; however, the maximum effect of decoupling ratio occurs in the small range of radii between 0.3?mm and 2.35?m.  相似文献   

长江中游沿岸过江大桥工程建设适宜性评价与地学建议     

赵幸悦子  彭轲  肖攀  何军  程刚  邓必荣 《中国地质调查》2019,6(5):99-106

基于长江中游沿岸地质环境条件及过江大桥场地建设基本要求,优选地形地貌、工程地质条件及区域稳定性3个评价因素,运用层次分析法开展长江中游沿岸过江大桥工程场地建设适宜性评价,将长江中游沿岸过江大桥工程分为适宜开发岸线、较适宜开发岸线、一般适宜开发岸线及非优先开发岸线4个等级。长江中游沿岸地区以较适宜开发岸线和一般适宜开发岸线为主,长度分别为625.19 km和598.99 km,分别占岸线总长度的31.35%和30.04%。针对长江中游不同等级岸线的地质特征,提出了相应的地学建议,为长江中游沿岸过江大桥优化选址提供地学指导,进一步促进长江经济带国土资源空间规划与岸线资源保护利用工作的开展。  相似文献   

青藏高原东北侧冰雹微物理过程模拟研究   总被引：31，自引：15，他引：16  

康凤琴  张强  渠永兴  冀兰芝  郭学良 《高原气象》2004,23(6):735-742

以青藏高原东北侧及毗邻地区诱发冰雹灾害的东移短小切变线天气过程为研究背景,采用中国科学院大气物理研究所三维冰雹云分档模式,用MM5V3中尺度气象模式提供冰雹云模拟研究所需的环境大气状况,模拟研究了冰雹形成和增长的微物理过程。结果表明：模式再现了当时冰雹、大风及暴雨的实况;中尺度水分和动力条件是冰雹形成和增长的重要因素,它们决定了冰雹云的强度和冰雹的大小;冰雹形成和增长过程中的微物理过程决定了冰雹云的消亡,冰雹在空中形成的潜热释放延长了降雹的时间;云中冰雹发生、增长的主要区域和云内上升气流配合良好,是防雹消雹的主要范围。  相似文献   

青藏高原东北侧7月少雨流型的研究     

王金花  马镜娴  谢金南 《高原气象》2004,23(6):875-883

根据青藏高原东北侧9个代表站1951—2000年历年7月的降水量资料,确定了5个多、少雨年。再用NCEP／NCAR再分析格点资料,分别求出850,700,600,500,200,100,70,50和30hPa共计9个层次上多、少雨年份7月月平均合成位势高度场。计算了500hPa合成高度场与其余各个层次合成高度场流型的相似性度量以及各个层次的东亚北风指数。结果表明：20世纪80年代提出的1300hPa层次上高原东北侧“西正东负”少雨流型的特征在850～70hPa整层大气中仍然存在。同时．7月少雨流型与平流层低层70,50hPa前期环流特征之间也存在联系,这些结果可供西北干旱形成研究和干旱预测业务参考。  相似文献   

Interpretation of the carbon abundance in Saturn measured by Cassini     

Franck Hersant  Daniel Gautier 《Planetary and Space Science》2008,56(8):1103-1111

Spectral observations of Saturn from the far infrared spectrometer aboard the Cassini spacecraft [Flasar, F.M., et al., 2005. Temperatures, winds, and composition in the Saturnian system. Science 307, 1247-1251] have revealed that the C/H ratio in the planet is in fact about twice higher than previously derived from ground based observations and in agreement with the C/H value derived from Voyager IRIS by Courtin et al. [1984. The composition of Saturn's atmosphere at northern temperate latitudes from Voyager IRIS spectra - NH₃, PH₃, C₂H₂, C₂H₆, CH₃D, CH₄, and the Saturnian D/H isotopic ratio. Astrophys. J. 287, 899-916]. The implications of this measurement are reanalyzed in the present report on the basis that volatiles observed in cometary atmospheres, namely CO₂, CH₄, NH₃ and H₂S may have been trapped as solids in the feeding zone of the planet. CH₄ and H₂S may have been in the form of clathrate hydrates while CO₂ presumably condensed in the cooling solar nebula. Carbon may also have been incorporated in organics. Conditions of temperature and pressure ease the hydratation of NH₃. Such icy grains were included in planetesimals which subsequently collapsed into the hydrogen envelope of the planet, then resulting in C, N and S enrichments with respect to the solar abundance. Our calculations are consistent, within error bars, with observed elemental abundances on Saturn provided that the carbon trapped in planetesimals was mainly in the form of CH₄ clathrate and CO₂ ice (and maybe as organics) while nitrogen was in the form of NH₃ hydrate. Our approach has implications on the possible pattern of noble gases in Saturn, since we predict that contrary to what is observed in Jupiter, Ar and Kr should be in solar abundance while Xe might be strongly oversolar. The only way to verify this scenario is to send a probe making in situ mass spectrometer measurements. Our scenario also predicts that the ¹⁴N/¹⁵N ratio should be somewhat smaller in Saturn than measured in Jupiter by Galileo.  相似文献   

Interpretation of the low-frequency peculiarities in the radio profile structure of the Crab pulsar     

S. A. Petrova 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,385(4):2143-2150

  相似文献   

Covariance of dark energy parameters and sound speed constraints from large H i surveys     

A. Torres-Rodríguez  C. M. Cress  K. Moodley 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,388(2):669-676

An interesting probe of the nature of dark energy is the measure of its sound speed, c _s. We review the significance for constraining sound speed models of dark energy using large neutral hydrogen (H  i ) surveys with the square kilometre array (SKA). Our analysis considers the effect on the sound speed measurement that arises from the covariance of c _s with the dark energy density, Ω_de, and a time-varying equation of state,   w ( a ) = w ₀+ (1 − a ) w _a   . We find that the approximate degeneracy between dark energy parameters that arises in power spectrum observations is lifted through redshift tomography of the H  i -galaxy angular power spectrum, resulting in sound speed constraints that are not severely degraded. The cross-correlation of the galaxy and the integrated Sachs Wolfe (ISW) effect spectra contributes approximately 10 per cent of the information that is needed to distinguish variations in the dark energy parameters, and most of the discriminating signal comes from the galaxy auto-correlation spectrum. We also find that the sound speed constraints are weakly sensitive to the H  i bias model. These constraints do not improve substantially for a significantly deeper H  i survey since most of the clustering sensitivity to sound speed variations arises from   z ≲ 1.5  . A detection of models with sound speeds close to zero,   c _s≲ 0.01,  is possible for dark energy models with   w ≳−0.9  .  相似文献   

青藏高原东北侧一次MCC的环境流场及动力分析   总被引：20，自引：12，他引：8  

侯建忠  孙伟  杜继稳 《高原气象》2005,24(5):805-810

利用卫星云图和高空风等各种天气学资料,对1991年7月28日青藏高原东北侧发生的一次中尺度对流复合体（MCC）和陕西关中的暴雨天气过程进行了大尺度环境场和物理量场的诊断分析,结果表明,东海台风北上,西太平洋副热带高压北上西伸是该MCC发生发展的重要大尺度条件;MCC是造成暴雨的直接影响系统;并给出了该类天气预报的参考指标。  相似文献   

青藏高原大气甲烷浓度时空分布变化特征     

冯冬霞  高晓清  周亚  杨丽薇  惠小英 《气候与环境研究》2017,22(3):346-354

利用瓦里关大气本底站甲烷观测数据对美国Aqua卫星的AIRS观测结果进行对比分析,并分析研究了2003~2012年青藏高原对流层大气甲烷的时空分布特征,结果表明:1)AIRS观测结果与近地面观测资料变化趋势一致,存在显著的正相关关系,突变时间比较一致,可以用于青藏高原区域的甲烷浓度特征分析。2)青藏高原对流层甲烷浓度在空间分布上存在显著的西北—东南走向的低值带及其南北侧存在4个固定的高值中心,分别位于阿里、那曲、山南和玉树。3)青藏高原甲烷浓度呈现显著随高度而降低的趋势,年平均甲烷浓度分别为1.810ppm(1 ppm=10-6)、1.797 ppm和1.781 ppm。在对流层中层和中上层,甲烷浓度基本呈现低值带最低、南北侧均高的山谷型分布特征。在对流层层顶,以低值带为分界线,呈现明显的南高北低特征。4)青藏高原甲烷浓度随时间呈缓慢上升趋势,平均速度为0.0018 ppm/a,夏季上升最快,秋季上升最慢。5)青藏高原甲烷存在明显的单峰型季节变化特征,夏秋季高,冬春季低,与东部地区冬、夏双峰型特征不同,随着高度上升季节变化更为明显。  相似文献   

考虑厚跨比的基桩下伏溶洞顶板冲切特性试验研究     

赵明华  唐咸力  肖尧  杨超炜 《岩土力学》2018,39(4):1159-1167

根据相似理论,设计并完成了4组厚跨比条件下基桩下伏溶洞顶板冲切特性大比例室内模型试验,得到了基桩和顶板的荷载-位移曲线、顶板底面的应变-位移曲线,并分析了桩-溶洞体系冲切特性承载机制。结果表明,基桩荷载-位移曲线在加载过程中出现了两个较为明显的弹塑性区;顶板表面荷载-位移曲线中,厚跨比 和 时的位移在加载过程中出现回弹。与此同时,试验板底面应变变化与底面裂缝的发展趋势相吻合。试验板的冲切破坏是剪切效应和弯曲效应综合作用的结果,随着厚跨比的增大,桩-溶洞体系的极限承载力有所增大,位移量有所减小,剪切效应趋于明显,弯曲效应逐渐消失。冲切锥台的形状随着厚跨比变化显著,厚跨比 时,冲切锥台较为厚实,且沿边界破坏;厚跨比 时,冲切锥台则不受限制。最后,通过分析4组厚跨比条件下试验板冲切锥台,拟合了冲切锥台破坏母线与厚跨比 和基桩直径 的关系曲线,为岩溶区基桩溶洞顶板的理论研究和工程实践提供了依据。  相似文献